Our College Football algorithm solves the two problems every bettor faces: prediction and intelligent stake sizing. First, we use drive-based efficiency modeling trained on years of college football data to predict game outcomes more accurately than the market by analyzing offensive and defensive drive efficiency, field position value, and pace of play through iterative opponent-strength adjustments, identifying bets where we have a mathematical edge. Second, we employ Monte Carlo simulation to calculate precise probabilities for spread coverage and totals, then dynamically scale stakes based on edge strength—betting larger when our confidence is highest and smaller when edges are thinner—maximizing returns while managing risk.
WHAT YOU RECEIVE:
WEEKLY PREDICTIONS (by Thurs, 3:00pm ET):
- Win probability for every college football game
- Projected final scores for both teams
- Calculated edge vs. market odds (moneyline, spread, total)
- Bet recommendations across all three markets
- Delivered via online website portal
ADVANCED BETTING INTELLIGENCE:
- Moneyline bets flagged when edge is 11-20%
- Spread bets flagged when projected advantage is 5-11.5 points
- Total (Over/Under) bets flagged when projected difference is 2.5-6 points
- Monte Carlo probability calculations for spread and total accuracy
- 10,000-simulation validation for each recommendation
DYNAMIC STAKE RECOMMENDATIONS:
- Variable unit sizing calibrated to opportunity strength
- Spread stakes scaled to edge magnitude (edge × 7)
- Total stakes scaled to probability advantage (edge × 7.5)
- Standard 1-unit sizing for moneyline bets
- Daily total exposure clearly displayed
PERFORMANCE TRACKING:
- Real-time win/loss records by bet type (ML, spread, over, under)
- Cumulative profit curves showing performance trajectory
- Profit tracking across all markets with ROI calculations
- Individual bet type performance breakdowns
- Transparent results with independently verifiable outcomes
MODEL INSIGHTS:
- Three-round iterative opponent-strength adjustments
- Team offensive and defensive drive efficiency ratings
- Expected points per drive based on field position regression
- Pace of play analysis affecting total possessions
- Pythagorean win probability calculations (2.37 exponent)
- Head-to-head matchup projections with home/away adjustments
All results documented with full transparency and independently verifiable.
Questions? Contact us at whizardanalytics.com
Subscriptions DO NOT auto-renew. Full terms and conditions available at whizardanalytics.com. Sports betting laws vary by jurisdiction, ensure compliance with local regulations.
